With so much happening in 2020, it’s easy for time to get away from us all, which is why the reality check of the upcoming election in November is much needed. With the election taking place in just under five months on Nov. 3, it’s time to start looking at the polls and making predictions about how each state will vote. This year, it’s the state of Texas that has a lot of attention. It is being dubbed a “battleground state,” with all signs are pointing to a tight race that will need to be fought hard.
How will Texas vote in November? Here’s just one prediction that could prove to be true.
A Strong Republican History
In order to understand what Texas may do in November, it’s important to look at the state’s track record. This is a state that has consistently voted for a Republican each year since 1980. That’s a pretty strong track record, and certainly one that won’t be easy to shake up. Republican roots and support run thick through the state, and in 2016, it gave Donald Trump the lead by just under 9% of the votes. Then in 2018, Senator Ted Cruz, a Republican, won in his re-election bid.
Are there any cracks in the Republican support?
Right now, it is looking like the main area to watch is Houston and south of the city. At the moment, there is a bit of a Democratic push happening, but keep in mind it is pocketed to that area of the state. It’s going to take a lot more than small cracks to really break through the strong Republican hold that is Texas, but again, there are signs other major cities may follow in Houston’s footsteps.
Democrat Support in Cities Might Be Feeding Republicans
While you may think that this trend of the Democrats taking over in the major cities would be alarming to Republicans, it actually seems to be having the opposite effect. Those in the state are watching the news, watching the polls, and are getting riled and up and registering to vote. In fact, according to Republican Becky Green, they are registering all kinds of new Republican voters across the state.
This injection of new voters could certainly help to push Republicans over the finish line and ensure they take the state yet again.
How the Population Breaks Down
When you look at how the population in Texas breaks down, it’s also really interesting. There are more than 200 rural counties in the state, along with 27 urban counties. Currently, the population of the urban counties comes close to that of the rural counties but doesn’t yet surpass it. So technically, if Republicans can hold on to the rural counties, they can take the vote.
COVID-19 Could Play a Role in the Vote
While the COVID-19 pandemic continues to sweep the nation, this too could play into the decision at the polls. Voters want to know that their representatives are looking out for their best interest where health and financial well-being are concerned. With so many months left before the election takes place and the pandemic still spreading, it leaves a lot up in the air. On the flip side, it also gives those Republicans who currently occupy seats a chance to prove how effective they are and fight for re-election.
Take Rep. Dennis Bonnen, a staunch Republican, as an example. He has spoken out on the impact of COVID-19 on the state and local budgets, and its response to the pandemic. Rep. Dennis Bonnen is the Speaker of the Texas House of Representatives, playing a large role in government, so his voice will count with the voters.
Speaker Bonnen spoke on the fact that while the virus isn’t going away any time soon, shutting down the economy isn’t the answer. Instead, in a Dennis Bonnen recording with Jack Fink of CBSN Dallas – Ft. Worth, he noted the focus needs to be on following public health guidelines and keeping the economy on track at the same time.
Rep. Dennis Bonnen designation urges cautious optimism while continuing to wash hands, use social distancing, masks or face coverings, and be smart about decisions made. He believes strongly this is the only way – and the best way – to get the economy back to where it was.
Raised on the Gulf Coast, Rep. Dennis Bonnen, his wife Kim, and their two sons now live in Lake Jackson, part of Brazoria County. Brazoria County just so happens to be one of the largest Republican precinct areas in the entire state.
Texas May Just Stick to its Roots
So, while there is fresh support for the Democrats in Texas, at the moment, it appears that Republicans may dominate yet again, especially if they continue to bring in freshly registered voters who are anxious to show their support.
If the Democrats want a win in Texas, they have a fierce fight on their hands.