New Poll Shows Big Concerns Among Minorities for Obama

By US Daily Review Staff.

Mitt Romney maintains his lead over Barack Obama at 45.6% to 41.1% among Likely Voters, according to the most recent American Pulse Survey (July-12, N=3,688). A factor contributing to Romney’s lead appears to be a loss of support among Blacks, Hispanics and Women who voted for Obama in 2008. Gaining support among Black Voters will be an uphill battle for Romney as Obama carried 96% of their vote in 2008. 81.5% of Likely Black Voters, however, currently say that they would cast a ballot for the incumbent if the election were held today.

Of Blacks (Non-Hispanic) who voted for Obama in 2008 and are likely to vote in 2012, 14.7% report they are undecided between the incumbent and the challenger, translating to an estimated 2,416,727 voters. Further, 1.8% (295,904) would cast a vote for Romney, for a combined total of approximately 2.7 million at-risk votes.

It seems as though there is some uncertainty among Obama’s 2008 Hispanic supporters as well. 67% of Hispanics voted for Obama in 2008. When asked who they would vote for today, 60.5% of Likely Hispanic Voters would re-elect the president. Of the Hispanics who voted for Obama in 2008 and are likely to vote in 2012, 8.5% say they are undecided, translating to an estimated 1,252,036 voters. Further, 7.0% (1,033,993) would vote for Romney for a collective 2.3 million votes at risk.

According to the analysis, an estimated 3.7 million voters who supported Obama in 2008 are undecided when you combine Non-Hispanic Blacks and Hispanics. This could signal bad news for the President as historically, the majority of undecided voters tend to swing towards the challenger on Election Day.

ESTIMATED # OF VOTES
2008 Obama Supporters

Blacks (Non-Hispanic)
Undecided: 2,416,727
Vote for Romney: 295,904

Hispanics
Undecided: 1,252,036
Vote for Romney:1,033,993

Whites (Non-Hispanic)
Undecided: 7,192,854
Vote for Romney: 6,139,217

TOTAL
Undecided: 10,861,618
Vote for Romney:7,469,114

Source: American Pulse™ Analytics

When you factor in Non-Hispanic Whites who voted for Obama but are now either undecided or voting for Romney, the total estimated number of at-risk votes for Obama surpasses 18 million. Compared to the total number of votes cast for Obama in 2008, it accounts for 26% of his total ballots now being at-risk.

For full complimentary report that includes how these segments view the Obama Administration’s healthcare plan, click here.

All opinions expressed on USDR are those of the author and not necessarily those of US Daily Review.

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