The Republican majority in the House will rise to its largest margin in history and the Senate will transfer from Democratic control to Republican come the November mid-term elections, says Neil Dhillon, a Democratic lobbyist and former senior congressional aide. It’s inevitable with the President’s approval rating at a record low 37% plus the traditional gains for a President’s opposing party in mid-terms that it will be an historic night for Republicans in November.
Even with 6 months out it’s an easy call to make now, says Dhillon. There’s an added clincher that a large population of newly registered Republican voters are Asian and Hispanics and that will further propel the Republicans in November. The President’s pressure on Congress on Immigration Reform, Energy Dependence, Federal Deficit, and Health Care will continue to determine whether his approval rating will rise or lower over the next few months.
The only good news for Democrats is that the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee (DCCC) raised close to $3 million more than Republicans in the last quarterly report. The Democrats will need to raise at least $20 million more each quarter to have any chance of forgoing full Republican control. And that is a tough road to climb.
The Senate presently has 53 Democrats, 45 Republicans and two Independents. The Republicans need a net gain of 6 seats out of 36 Senate races with Democrats fighting to retain 21 seats that include 6 races in states that Governor Mitt Romney won big in 2012. President Obama should do everything he can do now to forge some type of relations with the Senate Republicans to help ease the pain of his final two years in office. This will not be an easy task as the President and Congress barely talk as it is.
The House presently has 233 Republicans, 199 Democrats, and 3 open seats. Historically, the President’s opposing party makes big gains in mid-terms election plus the President’s approval rating is a low 37%. It appears that the Republicans will gain close to 10 seats and get over a 242 seat majority. If this occurs, this would the largest majority ever by Republicans. Republicans held a 239 seat majority in 1949 and a 242 seat majority in 2010.