By The Fashoda Institute, Special for USDR.
The Fashoda Institute (South Sudan’s Institute for Strategic and Regional Studies) recently published an in-depth analysis of Sudan’s President al-Bashir motivation for attacking South Sudan and threatening to close its oil routes. The Fashoda Institute and the South Sudan News both state that al-Bashir desperately needs a foreign distraction for the masses, as well as an excuse to dispatch the poor and discontent youth far away from Khartoum.
“Sudan’s President Omar al-Bashir has announced the halt of the export of South Sudanese oil via Sudan’s pipeline and called on the Sudanese youth to join the Army and the paramilitary Popular Defense Forces in order to go and liberate the southern parts of Sudan from the rebels”, writes The Fashoda Institute. “The most expedient solution is for Bashir to send them to fight and die for the Jihad against South Sudan”.
Analysts at The Fashoda Institute report in a just released article that Khartoum is indeed cognizant of the ramification and consequences of Bashir’s sudden move and announced the following statement: “Bashir’s public declaration came irrespective of all the promises of a new era of cooperation by the highest levels of official Khartoum, and, more important, the explicit guarantees to Juba by Obama’s Washington that Khartoum will abide by all the agreements on keeping peace, oil export and revenues sharing”.
The Fashoda Institute states in its “Khartoum’s Oil War” analysis that Bashir’s June 8 declaration, which led to an armed confrontation 2 days later, is part of a major undertaking against South Sudan that goes far beyond retaliation for the alleged support for rebels in South Kordofan and Blue Nile States.
According to Joe Odaby of the Fashoda Institute: “The Islamist Government which came to power in Khartoum through a coup two decades ago made Sudan a hub of Jihadist terrorism serving as a link between the Sunni Al-Qaida and the Shiite Iran. Its decade-long genocidal war against Sudanese Christians and animalists resulted in the Darfur genocide and ICC indictment against Sudan’s President al-Bashir for crimes against humanity. South Sudan’s independence gained in 2011 was perceived by the Islamist Government of Khartoum as a set-back in Jihad which has to be avenged.”
Baroness Cox, Former Deputy Speaker of the British House of Lords openly declared that “it is only the resistance by Southern Sudan that is preventing the Islamization of the rest of Africa, down to Cape Town”.
The Fashoda Institute’s analysis of the current escalation concludes with a statement that the real reason for Bashir’s sudden bellicosity has little to do with South Sudan’s alleged support for the rebellion in the southern parts of Sudan. The real reason, they say, is the opposition’s credible threat to topple Bashir and his regime within 100 days because of the rapidly deteriorating socio-economic situation in the country.
“Bashir’s Khartoum has no plan for economic change or recovery. Hence, Bashir desperately needs a foreign distraction for the masses, as well as excuse to dispatch the poor and discontent youth far away from Khartoum”, the Fashoda Institute reports. “The most expedient solution is for Bashir to send them to fight and die for the Jihad against South Sudan”.