For the first time since 2009, the number of pedestrians killed on U.S. roadways is declining. Compared with the first six months of 2012, pedestrian deaths fell 8.7 percent during the first half of 2013, according to a new report released today by the Governors Highway Safety Association (GHSA). Specifically, comparing pedestrian fatality data for January through June 2013 (1,985) with the same time period in 2012 (2,175), there were 190 fewer fatalities. “Pedestrian Traffic Fatalities by State: 2013 Preliminary Data,” notes that states that had decreases slightly outnumbered states with increases, but there were more states that had large decreases, particularly Florida (-55) andCalifornia (-37).
Concerns about a 15 percent increase in pedestrian deaths nationwide between 2009 and 2012, coupled with a three percent decrease in all other motor vehicle fatalities during the same time period, prompted GHSA to conduct the study. Using preliminary data provided by the 50 state highway safety offices and the District of Columbia, Dr. Allan Williams, former chief scientist at the Insurance Institute for Highway Safety, compared data from 2012 and 2013. This same methodology was used in a 2010 GHSA study of pedestrian roadway deaths and proved to be quite accurate, when compared with the final data.
“The preliminary findings are good news, but it’s too soon to celebrate,” said Kendell Poole, GHSA Chairman and Director of the Tennessee Office of Highway Safety. “Recognizing that the safety of all roadway users is a priority for the association and our members, we must remain focused on pushing the numbers down in all 50 states. With distraction an increasing issue for both pedestrians and motorists, pedestrian safety continues to be a priority in many areas of the country.”
That effort is not without challenges, noted Dr. Williams. “Roadways are primarily designed to accommodate motor vehicle travel, so pedestrians are clearly at a disadvantage. Add in the mass differential when a pedestrian and a vehicle collide, and the consequences can be serious for the person on foot.”
States with the most fatalities are primarily large-population states with large urban centers. In 2012 and the first six months of 2013, three states – California, Texas and Florida – accounted for a third of all pedestrian deaths reported. And in 2012, pedestrian deaths represented 25 percent of all motor vehicle fatalities in states such as New Jersey, New York and Delaware. The lowest percentages of pedestrian fatalities are in predominantly rural states such as South Dakota (2 percent), North Dakota (4 percent) and Wyoming (5 percent).
Worldwide, pedestrians comprise 22 percent of the 1.24 million yearly traffic deaths, with many of the fatalities occurring in low- and middle-income countries. While pedestrian deaths in the U.S. have declined from 7,516 in 1975 (the first year in which data from FARS were compiled) to an all-time low of 4,109 in 2009, the number has been rising at an annual average rate of 4.9 percent ever since.
Why the numbers were increasing in 2010-2012 is not clearly understood. “The 2008-2009 economic recession may have driven the recent uptick, as more people were walking to lower their transportation costs,” said Dr. Williams. “The focus on walking for health and environmental benefit also may have been factor,” he added.
Although it is challenging to explain the decline in pedestrian deaths in 2013, this decrease is consistent with the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration’s early estimate of a 4 percent drop in total motor vehicle deaths for the first half of 2013. States are using a combination of engineering, education and enforcement to combat the problem. For example, North Carolina adopted a Complete Streets policy in 2009, in which roadways are designed and operated to enable safe access for all users. Other engineering changes that are likely to increase pedestrian safety include adding midblock crossings, median refuge islands, and implementing leading pedestrian crossing signals at intersections.
Enforcement and education tactics include pedestrian decoys – plainclothes police officers who are placed in marked crosswalks to identify and warn or cite motorists who do not yield the right of way to pedestrians and other roadway users – and anti-jaywalking campaigns. In the District of Columbia, an automated enforcement pilot program is underway to help curb motorist violations that put pedestrians at risk. Cameras have been installed at 20 intersections controlled by a stop sign and at another 20 uncontrolled crosswalks. In addition to these tools, the city also has a significant number of red light and speed cameras in place that are credited with producing a measurable decline in vehicle speeds.
“Reducing speeding, particularly in areas frequented by pedestrians is key,” stressed Williams. “The odds of a pedestrian surviving a crash with a car traveling 20 mph or slower are good; at higher speeds, the impact can be fatal.”